Truth In Aviation, Newsletter of the Regional Commission on Airport Affairs
August 19, 2003

Foggy Logic

The latest pr line from the Port is "we all saw this Summer what it's like to have a clogged airport"--so that's why a third runway is needed. We saw this line in a guest opinion piece in the Seattle Post Intelligencer by Mic Dinsmore and Martha Choe and in recent letters to the editor.

Never mind that the delays in the early part of this summer were caused by a shortage of security screeners. Not a problem solved by a third runway. The runway is designed to relieve peak traffic delays during bad weather (something notably absent in summer, especially August, the highest traffic month). Our advice: Hire more screeners. It's cheaper.

This PR line is a classic bit of Port "foggy logic". In Port foggy logic, every delay at Sea-Tac would be cured by the third runway. Delays caused by fog when the airport was closed (and the third runway would be closed, too) are counted as delays cureable by a third runway. Delays caused by thunderstorms in Atlanta are treated as delays that could be cured by the third runway. Even closure of the airport for 9/11 and the Nisqually Earthquake are treated as delays for which "we just gotta have a third runway right now". The new spin: delays caused by a shortage of low-level security screeners are proof that we need a third runway! Watch out for claims that that delays caused by the electricty blackout back East would be cured by the third runway.

So, we ask the Port and other runway advocates, how come you say that we have a delay problem so severe at Sea-Tac that we have to build the most expensive runway ever built on land, wreck tens of thousands of homes and businesses in the neighboring communities, muck about in the headwaters of three creeks that go right into the Sound, and use contaminated fill to try to save some money, when the FAA Benchmark study shows no significant delays at Sea-Tac. (That was before 9/11, and traffic has dropped since then.)

In another masterpiece of fuzzy logic, Dinsmore and Choe breezily dismiss the FAA benchmark study. "Well, that's for planning tower personnel," they say. That is supposed to explain away the discrepancy between their overblown delay projections and the reality? A study of delays for planning tower personnel is likely to be more accurate than the the wishful projections of monument builders and their contractors. But not if, by fuzzy logic, they can convince people that the third runway will cure all their travel woes.

Of course, someday this region will need a new airport. Our postage stamp-sized Sea-Tac with its dangerous flightlines over our heaviest population corridors won't do. But tacking on third runway won't solve that problem either. It may actually prevent us from doing the planning and making the investments our economy really will need in the future.

And the last bit of foggy logic: Alaska Airlines thinks it is a good idea. Well fine! If this is a project that will benefit Alaska Airlines, then include the costs of the whole project (including interest on borrowed money), include ALL of the damages to the neighboring communities, include full environmental mitigation, and have Alaska pay for it. All of it. With real money, cash on the barrelhead. Not with vague letters of support. And perhaps a contract exonerating the taxpayers if Alaska falls short, secured by a sound performance bond.

The Port is supposed to be a business, not a money-losing machine, as it now is. If it had to make a profit, as other ports do; if it had to pay dividends to local taxpayers, as other ports do, it could not live on foggy logic. In the world of sound economic logic, the third runway would be the first project cut.

 


©RCAA 2003
Regional Commission on Airport Affairs
is a nonprofit citizens' organization
19900 4th Ave S.
Normandy Park, WA 98166
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